Forget Super Tuesday, It’s Africa’s Super Sunday of Six Polls

Supporters of Guy Brice Parfait, who leads a party in support of Republic of Congo President Denis Sassou Nguesso, attend a rally in Brazzaville, Republic of Congo, March 17. Republic of Congo is one of six countries and territories in Africa holding votes on Sunday.
Supporters of Guy Brice Parfait, who leads a party in support of Republic of Congo President Denis Sassou Nguesso, attend a rally in Brazzaville, Republic of Congo, March 17. Republic of Congo is one of six countries and territories in Africa holding votes on Sunday.

By    | NewsWeek

Move over Super Tuesday. On March 20, the continent of Africa has its very own Super Sunday, with five countries and one semi-autonomous archipelago holding polls over a single day that promises color, drama and possibly violence.

People will go to the polls in Republic of Congo to elect their president, while run-off polls between the two leading candidates in both Niger and Benin will also take place. A controversial election rerun is taking place on the holiday destination of Zanzibar, just off Tanzania’s east coast, while Senegalese voters will decide whether to reduce the length of presidential terms. Finally, the tiny islands of Cape Verde are holding parliamentary elections.

1. Republic of Congo

Almost half of the 4.2 million people in the country, also known as Congo-Brazzaville, live in poverty despite its petroleum wealth: Republic of Congo is Africa’s eighth-biggest oil producer and 36th in the world, pumping out 259,000 barrels of oil per day in 2014. The country’s current president, Denis Sassou Nguesso, is considered the runaway favorite to secure another term in office after 92 percent of voters backed an October 2015 referendum to allow him to run for a third consecutive term in office. Sunday’s poll is likely to be marked by tension, however, as at least four protesters were killed in October while demonstrating against the referendum. Nguesso was installed by the military in 1979 but was voted out in the first multi-party elections in 1992, before returning to power in 1997 following a bloody civil war. He faces eight opponents in the first round of polling, each of whom has pledged to support the opposition candidate in the case of a run-off vote.

2. Niger

In the West African state affected by the Boko Haram insurgency, incumbent Mahamadou Issoufou and opposition leader Hamad Amadou lock horns in a presidential run-off vote. The two candidates are not exactly on an equal footing, however, as Amadou has been imprisoned on baby-trafficking charges (which he denies) since November 2015 and had to campaign from behind bars. Amadou was flown to France earlier in March to receive medical treatment and there are doubts as to whether he will boycott Sunday’s vote. In any case, Issoufou is the favorite to gain re-election after polling 48 percent in the first round to Amadou’s 17 percent. While Issoufou claims to have boosted infrastructure and improved Niger’s international standing, living standards remain dire—Niger came last in the U.N.’s 2015 Human Development Index, meaning it has the ignominious honor of having the worst living conditions in the world.

3. Benin

Beninese President Thomas Boni Yayi proved to be somewhat of a rarity among African heads of state by honoring his country’s constitution and agreeing to step down at the end of his second term. Current Prime Minister Lionel Zinsou came top of the polls on March 6 with 28 percent, narrowly ahead of businessman Patrice Talon on 25 percent. Benin was the first sub-Saharan African country to adopt multi-party elections in 1990 and, despite a delay to the elections due to problems distributing polling cards, the vote was carried out peacefully, meaning that Benin may well be the least controversial of all the polls taking place across the continent on Sunday.

4. Zanzibar

A paradisiacal archipelago popular with European tourists, Zanzibar is also a semi-autonomous region of Tanzania with a troubled political history, with violence marring previous votes on Zanzibar in 1995, 2000 and 2005. Zanzibar’s result was controversially annulled following nationwide elections in Tanzania in October 2015, when the electoral commission claimed that the poll had been jeopardized by irregularities. The opposition Civic United Front (CUF) cried foul and has called for a boycott of Sunday’s rerun, which has also been criticized by a smattering of international representatives to Tanzania, including the U.S. Ambassador and British High Commissioner to the East African country. If the ruling Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM) is again accused of rigging the polls on Sunday, there is the potential for another flare-up on the so-called Spice Islands.

5. Senegal

Senegalese President Macky Sall wants to reduce his time in power. Sall has become the first sitting African president to call a referendum aimed at reducing presidential terms—in his case, from seven to five years—and the vote is taking place on Sunday in the West African country. The president pledged to reduce term limits prior to his election in 2012 and has previously said that doing so would set a good example to other African leaders. Indeed, should Sall succeed, he would be bucking a trend which has seen heads of state in other countries—including Paul Kagame in Rwanda, Uganda’s Yoweri Museveni and Pierre Nkurunziza of Burundi—amending or ignoring their constitutions in order to stay in power.

6. Cape Verde

In the archipelago that lies some 570 kilometers (350 miles) west of Senegal in the Atlantic Ocean, Cape Verdeans will on Sunday vote for their 72 parliamentary representatives in the National Assembly. Cape Verde, which has a population of around 500,000 and is currently subject to a travel warning due to an outbreak of the Zika virus, is holding presidential elections later in 2016 and so Sunday’s vote should highlight which of the two dominant parties—the African Party for the Independence of Cape Verde (PAICV) or the Movement for Democracy (MpD)—is in the better position.

A High Court judge faults Nigeria’s Economic and Financial Crimes Commission

President Buhari... Some lawyers have accused Buhari of using his fight against corruption to settle political scores. Human rights groups say some judges and lawyers are corrupt.
President Buhari… Some lawyers have accused Buhari of using his fight against corruption to settle political scores. Human rights groups say some judges and lawyers are corrupt.

ABUJA, Nigeria (AP) — A High Court judge has accused Nigeria’s Economic and Financial Crimes Commission and the army of behaving as if the country is still under military dictatorship and ordered the immediate release of a colonel detained without charges for nearly three months.

Judge Yusuf Haliru said the detention of Col. Nicholas Ashinze was illegal. Ashinze was aide to former presidential security adviser Sambo Dasuki, who also was arrested in December on allegations of diverting $2.9 billion meant to buy arms to fight the Boko Haram insurgency. Three different courts have ordered Dasuki’s release but President Muhammadu Buhari has said he must stay in jail.

Some lawyers have accused Buhari of using his fight against corruption to settle political scores. Human rights groups say some judges and lawyers are corrupt.

South Sudan Soldiers Suffocated 60-Plus Men And Boys, Report Says

Jason Beaubien  | NPR’s Global Health and Development Correspondent

Last month, I visited a displaced persons camp in South Sudan and met a woman who said she’d spent almost a year hiding in a swamp. She spent her days submerged, her head just above water. At night she’d emerge to search for food.

She’s one of the hundreds of thousands of people who have fled their homes over the past two years to escape that country’s brutal civil war. It’s hard to imagine that so many people would give up their worldly goods and flee into the bush. A new report from Amnesty International helps explain why.

The report, issued Thursday, looks at one atrocity that not only claimed dozens of lives, but sowed fear in the living left behind.

Amnesty International says that in October of 2015, government soldiers rounded up more than 60 men and boys in Leer, a town in the northern Unity state, locked them in a shipping container until they suffocated, then dumped their bodies in a nearby field. They were accused of supporting the opposition rebels.

“Witnesses described to us how the men were detained. How they were forced into this container,” says Lama Fakih, a crisis adviser with Amnesty International who spent two weeks last month in South Sudan investigating the massacre. Amnesty International interviewed 42 people who saw parts of the incident, she says. “Some [of the witnesses] were just outside the container and could hear the detainees banging on the sides of the container, screaming.”

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Hundreds of thousands of South Sudanese have fled their homes because of the ongoing civil war. (Above) Kids at a displaced persons camp in Bentiu. Many of the residents came from the part of South Sudan where the shipping container massacre reportedly occurred.

 

According to the report, soldiers opened the container to remove the bodies of some of the men who’d suffocated to death but then locked the doors again with the rest of the people inside. After 24 hours, all but one of the detainees were dead.

This incident is significant for several reasons. First, Amnesty International is calling it a war crime by the Sudanese government against its own people. Second, it occurred two months after the warring parties — the forces of South Sudanese President Salva Kiir and troops led by his former vice president, Reik Machar — signed a peace accord. An international commission charged with monitoring that cease-fire also documented reports of the shipping container killing in a confidential memo dated Dec. 18, 2015. Some details in that memo are slightly different from what Amnesty International found, but the main facts are strikingly similar.

The cease-fire commission’s report said, “Between 20 and 22 October 2015 a group of Government Forces were involved in some sort of operation in Leer County, during which cattle were seized and about 50 people (reports vary between 53 and 60) were rounded up and put in a shipping container in Leer. The container is in the compound used by Government Forces as a headquarters. A large number of those people suffocated. Their bodies were taken and thrown into the bush along the Gandor road.”

The “compound” where this happened was a church.

Government troops had commandeered the grounds of the Comboni Catholic Church in Leer after the clergy had fled. The soldiers were using the church grounds as a base.

“Unsubstantiated reports suggest that the few [detainees] who survived were killed,” the cease-fire commission memo adds. “There are further reports that the only survivor was an eight-year-old boy.”

Amnesty International heard that there was a lone boy who survived but puts his age at 12. One of the unnamed witnesses in the AI report says that when the shipping container was finally opened, there was a pile of bodies 3 feet high. “What we saw was tragic … the container was full of people, they had fallen over one another and onto the floor,” she’s quoted as saying.

This massacre is being blamed on government forces, but reports from the African Union, Human Rights Watch and others say both sides in this civil war have committed crimes against humanity including raping women, castrating child soldiers, killing civilians and even allegedly forcing captives to drink human blood.

“Sadly this is one horrific experience in a long litany of violations that we have documented being perpetrated by government forces or allied militias against the civilian population,” says Amnesty International’s Lama Fakih about the shipping container incident. “And again the abuses we have documented took place after the signing of the peace agreement.”

South Sudanese government spokesmen didn’t respond to two messages from NPR seeking comment on this new Amnesty International report.

Nigeria: 32 killed in pre-election violence in oil state

Nigeria’s governing party charged Thursday that 32 of its members have been shot, clubbed and beheaded in escalating violence as oil-rich Rivers state prepares for a rerun of legislative elections previously annulled amid fraud and killings.

Rivers state is a stronghold of the opposition Democrats. The party denies responsibility and blames the spate of killings over two weeks on “satanic cult clashes,” according to state government spokesman Austin Tam George, who is also an official of the Democrats party. He accused the governing party of “reckless and false allegations” to destabilize the opposition administration.

Image: SabrinaDan Photo via Flickr
Image: SabrinaDan Photo via Flickr

Rivers police spokesman Ahmad Muhammad acknowledged there had been “some murders” and said the gang leader believed to be behind it has been arrested.

The state committee of President Muhammadu Buhari’s All Progressives Congress accused opposition leaders of hiring gangsters to kill and intimidate its members. Party members are “fast becoming an endangered species” and fear will keep many from the March 19 polls for federal and state legislators in the southern state, it said in a statement.

It released a list of 32 names of party members it said have been killed, some by gunshots, several beheaded, others clubbed to death and one man burned alive.

“It is most likely that the violence is going to get worse,” warned Dakuku Peterside, who lost the governorship election in Rivers.

The 2015 presidential and legislative elections were relatively peaceful except in Rivers, where the National Human Rights Commission said nearly 100 people died.

Eritrean refugees in Ethiopia

After Syrians and Afghans, Eritreans comprise the third largest group of migrants to cross the Mediterranean Sea.
After Syrians and Afghans, Eritreans comprise the third largest group of migrants to cross the Mediterranean Sea.

They are aware that their lives are at great risk during the journey, but they would rather take their chances. Back in Eritrea, they say the situation has “reached the bottom”. They are fleeing from a country where, according to Amnesty International, arbitrary detention without charge or trial and torture is the norm for thousands of prisoners of conscience, the rule of law remains sparse, political opposition is banned, and there is no freedom of religion or movement.

Ethiopia is the starting point for Eritrean refugees making their way to Europe. This neighbouring country has the highest number of refugees in Africa – more than 700,000 people according to international monitors, of whom more than 100,000 are Eritrean.

Most refugees are placed in camps by the government, where they say “life is not acceptable because of the heat, the small amount of food and because there is nothing to do all day”.

Many refugees eventually move to Addis Ababa, Ethiopia’s capital.

Once there, they discover a city with one of the fastest-growing economies in the world, and with a population of 4.5 million which is expected to double by 2040.

Some decide to stay “because life in Addis is not so bad, even if it is quite difficult to earn good money”. They say they scrape enough together through informal jobs or have relatives or friends abroad send them money.

*Some names were changed at the request of the refugees.

WAELE/ARCELFA: Securing the dignity of African women

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By Anthony Obi Ogbo  |  Houston, Texas

At a Presentation event held in Ondo State of Nigeria to benefit rural women with 60 sets of 8HP Milling Machine, Otunba Dr Basirat Nahibi  (OON), founder and president of the Women Advancement for Economic and Leadership Empowerment in Africa (WAELE/ARCELFA) reinstated a mission to stand as a stronger voice toward meeting the aspirations of the African Women regarding economic empowerment and social freedom. This was in October, 2005.

In her words, Dr. Nahibi  said, “We believe that by partnering with this administration, we can reduce if not eradicate poverty totally in our dear country. You can always count on our support whenever you need us while we expect same from you to sustain the growth of this young organization.” This basically explains the core objectives of WAELE/ARCELFA as an entity, and it social responsibility to the women gender.

In her words, Dr. Nahibi said, “We believe that by partnering with this administration, we can reduce if not eradicate poverty totally in our dear country. You can always count on our support whenever you need us while we expect same from you to sustain the growth of this young organization.”
In her words, Dr. Nahibi said, “We believe that by partnering with this administration, we can reduce if not eradicate poverty totally in our dear country. You can always count on our support whenever you need us while we expect same from you to sustain the growth of this young organization.”

WAELE/ARCELFA was founded on   May 8 2004 to meet the sociopolitical needs of women in African and inspire them to participate in the economic decision-making; peace and conflict resolution; and affairs of governance in the continent. Today the group has spread through 42 African Countries, assisting African rural women to organizing themselves for improved livelihoods through targeted events and programs.

Globally, issues about women is swiftly gaining unprecedented attention. Mid December 2015, the United Nations (UN) Women introduced new policy brief series to pave the way for gender equality and women’s rights. Briefs focus on national social protection; gender equality; child development and job creation; protecting women’s income security in old age; and possibilities of macroeconomic policy for gender equality.

On another significant note, according to the UN Women, African continent has demonstrated a commitment to promote gender equality and the empowerment of women. For instance, almost all countries have ratified the Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Discrimination against Women; more than half have ratified the African Union’s Protocol on the Rights of Women in Africa.  These values accord with the mission of the Women Advancement for Economic and leadership Empowerment (WAELE/ARCELFA) in unifying various women groups and providing a stronger voice toward meeting the needs and prospects of the African Women.

International Guardian sat one-one-one with Dr. Nahibi and discussed her leadership of an entity that has made several impacts in the state of the African women. She is a known figure in the Nigeria’s political arena, who in 1978 joined the then People’s Redemption Party (PRP) in the country’s quest for a second republic. She was a member of the Social Democratic Party (SDP) and also a founding member of both the All Progressives Party (APP) and  Congress for Progressive Change (CPC). Her partisan involvement in the current Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and All Progressive Congress (APC) substantiates her status as a godmother in the country’s political confraternity.Yet, Dr. Nahibi mentioned nothing about politics, but consistently stressed the urgent need to address regional issues about gender inequality, hunger, and uncertainties that permeate various region in the continent. She is currently a member of the African Union (AU) Committee of 30 for African Women Fund, and spoke heavily about WAELE/ARCELFA’s effort to attain peace and stability; and recognition and acceptance of women in the leadership process in the continent. “It has been a long journey, I tell you. I recall on the 11th September 2006 when WAELE/ARCELFA visited His Excellency Mr. Jakaya Mrisho Kikwete, President of the United Republic of Tanzania in Dar-Es-Salaam to commend him on the appointment of 16 female Ministers and other women in top decision making positions – we sat down with him and discussed the problems affecting African women and the way forward. The meeting was successful,” she said.

In furtherance of their mission to advocate a peaceful region, WAELE/ARCELFA collaborated with the Sudanese General Women Union (SGWU) to hold a peace meeting in Khartoum on Darfur issues in October 2008. The group visited President Omer Al-Basher to discuss the Darfur issue as well as issues concerning Sudan and the Republic of Chad. As a result of this meeting, the Sudanese border with Chad and Sudanese Embassy in Ndjamena were re-opened. “Special credit was given to WAELE/ARCELFA peace mission to Khartoum when this border was re – opened by the Sudanese Government, and these are just a few out of the numerous regional engagement we have facilitated to attain a peaceful region,” Dr. Nahibi said.

Dr. Nahibi continued on Sudan, “My group visited the Internally Displaced Person’s camp (IDP) in Al – Fashir, Northern Darfur in May 2009 and organized peace meeting with the Dafurian women in collaboration with Sudanese General Women Union (SGWU). More than 3,000 women participated in the peace meeting. Also we visited South Sudan in October 2010, met with the First Lady H.E. Mrs. Kiir and discussed the need for peace in both North & South Sudan after a prevalent referendum. That was not all – WAELE/ARCELFA also visited South Sudan in Feb 2014 on a peace mission and delivered relief materials to the IDP.”

Other rewarding peace missions by WAELE/ARCELFA include; a visited to the women of Tindouf, Algeria in Dec 2010; a special mission to Saharawi refugee camp in December, 2010, and another visit to  Juba, South Sudan from in February 2014 for a PEACE operation.

In accordance with its mission, how has WAELE/ARCELFA lived up to its expectation in unifying various women groups and providing a stronger voice towards meeting the aspirations African Women? Dr. Nahibi said that her organization has conducted a number of conferences and seminars to enhance gender sensitivity of various governments in Africa and to empower women to assert their God-given rights to aspire to positions of leadership in government, private sector, and the civil society.

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She said, “We held our first continental conference in Bamako, Mali, in March 2004, and 14 African countries participated. The second WAELE/ARCELFA continental conference themed “African women in a contemporary world:  issues on political and economic development” was held at the ECOWAS Secretariat, Abuja in July 2005. During this event, representatives from 18 African countries attended. If I may recall, Hon. Mrs. Gertrude Mongella, former President of Pan African Parliament led the Tanzanian delegation and delivered the keynote address. Also, in October 2006, our continental conference took place in Abuja, Nigerian at the International Conference Centre. Senator Joy Emodi gave the keynote address,” themed, “Politics and nation building: the role of Nigerian women.”

WAELE/ARCELFA has been consistent with using its conferences to organize women at continental levels to address their communal needs.  In the 2010 continental conference held in Abuja, for instance, 35 African countries participated. Among special guests were General Yakubu Gowon, a former Nigeria Head of State, Hon. Joyce Banda, Vice President of Malawi, and Hon. Joice Mujuru, Vice President of Zimbabwe. In September 2011, WAELE/ARCELFA’s 4th continental conference, 45 countries participated while Amb Frank Ruddy of United State delivered the Keynote address.

Women and Gender Cluster: Kenya Nairobi 17th -18th Oct, 2015. At the moment, WAELE/ARCELFA’s economic empowerment has visibly empowered thousands of women in sub-Saharan African regions.
Women and Gender Cluster: Kenya Nairobi 17th -18th Oct, 2015. At the moment, WAELE/ARCELFA’s economic empowerment has visibly empowered thousands of women in sub-Saharan African regions.

In addition to the conferences, the organization’s humanitarian projects across various regions have been successful in providing underprivileged women with basic necessities.  For instance, during the ethnic religious crises between the Christians and Muslims in Plateau State of Nigeria, WAELE/ARCELFA donated tons household items;  including blankets, mats, buckets, bowls, and foodstuffs to the victims. In 2008, the group visited the Chadian refugees during civil strife and handed out to hundreds of victims; bags of rice, maize, and millet, and salt, cartons of spaghetti, detergents, and plastic cups. Other relief items included; 5,000 slippers, 5,000 buckets, 2,000 mats, 2,000 blankets & and 200 boxes of milk. In 2014, the group also visited Juba, South Sudan where hundreds of underprivileged victims of the system were presented with similar relief materials.

The progress made so far by WAELE/ARCELFA in the sub-Saharan African regions on women affairs has been enormous. Dr. Nahibi admitted that the current situation regarding gender equality and the empowerment of women in Africa needed more work, but touted her group’s unwavering mission in bridging the equality gap and reducing economic inadequacies. “We have tried in many areas on gender equality and empowerments though advocacy and conferences.  However, we still have a lot of work to do regarding the 35% affirmative action which is still unachievable in many of the countries including Nigeria.  This year, we are also focusing on gender violence and women rights,” she noted.

At the moment, WAELE/ARCELFA’s economic empowerment has visibly empowered thousands of women in sub-Saharan African regions. In Nigeria alone, noted Dr. Nahibi, “More than 10,000 women in Akwa Ibom, Borno, Ondo & Abia States of have been successfully rewarded with economic empowerment equipment to boost productions in their individual trades and disciplines.  Indeed, those that are into cassava processing could only produce two bags of cassava manually with hard labor in a week, but after giving them the equipment, they can now produce more than 20 bags daily. Similarly, the women that are into palm oil processing could only produce 20 liters in a week. It is my pleasure to bring to your knowledge that with the assistance of WAELE/ARCELFA, they can now produce 400 liters in a day.”

Dr. Nahibi is also involved with the African Union’s Economic, Social and Cultural Council (ECOSOCC), coordinating the West Africa headquarter of the Women and Gender Cluster. She is also a member of African Union (AU) Steering Committee for the Fund for African Women. African union ECOSSOC promotes dialogue between all segments of Africa people on issues concerning the continent and its future. The committee also creates strong partnership avenues between governments and all segments of civil societies, especially; women, the youth, children and the Diaspora, organized labor, private sectors, and professional groups

According to Dr. Nahibi, “as a team, we have been able to propagate the participation of Africa civil societies in the implementation of the policies and the program of the African Union – the most crucial aspect being the support of policies and programs that promote peace, securities, and stabilities; and foster continental developments & integration.”

“It is my hope that international organizations and other humanitarian entities in Africa and around the globe collaborate with us and support us as we promote and defend not just the culture of gender equality but also the culture of good governance, and democratic principles, human rights, and social justice. I would also call on the media – both local and international to support our effort in promoting and strengthening the institutional, human and operational capacities of the African civil society,” Dr. Nahibi concluded.

Nigeria says producers to meet in Moscow, sees dramatic impact

OPEC

Some members of OPEC plan to meet other oil producers in Russia around March 20 for new talks on an oil output freeze, Nigeria’s petroleum minister said on Thursday, forecasting the meeting would spark a dramatic reaction in crude prices.

Nigeria has been pushing for action by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries because the slump in oil revenue has undercut its public finances and currency, leaving the government struggling to pay civil servants.

“We’re beginning to see the price of crude inch up very slowly,” minister Emmanuel Ibe Kachikwu told a conference in Abuja. “But if the meeting that we’re scheduling, it should happen in Russia, between the OPEC and non-OPEC producers, happens about March 20, we should see some dramatic price movement.”

“Both the Saudis and the Russians, everybody is coming back to the table,” Kachikwu said. “I think we’re very humbled today to accept that if we get to a price of $50, it will be celebrated. That’s a target that we have.”

The Russian Energy Ministry said it was ready for talks but the date and venue had yet to be agreed. “Currently, various options about the venue and date for the meeting, where measures on oil market stabilization due to be discussed, are being worked out,” it said in a statement.

Benchmark Brent futures LCOc1 were around $37 per barrel by 1554 GMT (1054 ET) on Thursday.

OPEC leader Saudi Arabia and non-OPEC Russia, the world’s two largest oil exporters, agreed last month to freeze output at January levels to prop up prices if other nations agreed to join the first global oil pact in 15 years.

Yet the accord has so far failed to have a dramatic impact on crude prices, partly because OPEC’s third-largest producer Iran plans to steeply raise production after the lifting of international sanctions on the Islamic Republic in January.

Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari on Sunday stepped up rhetoric on the issue, telling Qatar’s ruler crude prices had fallen to “totally unacceptable” levels.

Kachikwu also said Nigeria was pumping 2.2 million barrels per day, in line with previous comments, of which 46 percent was coming from onshore fields.

He also said Nigeria’s average oil production cost from state firm NNPC and international companies was between $13 and $15 a barrel for onshore fields and $30 a barrel for deep offshore operations.

Oil prices have lost two thirds of their value since mid 2014 due to a glut of supplies caused by booming output from the United States and OPEC. In January they fell below $30 per barrel, their lowest in more than a decade.

(Writing by Dmitry Zhdannikov and Ulf Laessing; Editing by Susan Fenton and Susan Thomas)

Starving militants surrender to Nigeria’s military

MAIDUGURI, Nigeria — Dozens of emaciated-looking Boko Haram members begging for food have surrendered in northeast Nigeria, the military and a civilian self-defense fighter said Wednesday.

Seventy-six people including children and women gave themselves up to soldiers last Saturday in Gwoza, about 60 miles southeast of Maiduguri, according to a senior officer.

The detainees said many more fighters want to surrender, a self-defense civilian fighter who helped escort them to Maiduguri told The Associated Press.

Food shortages could indicate that Nigeria’s military is succeeding in choking supply routes of the Islamic extremists who have taken their fight across Nigeria’s borders. Some 20,000 people have died in the 6-year-old uprising. Boko Haram was declared the deadliest of all terror groups in 2014, surpassing the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) to which it declared allegiance last year.

Troubled waters: What Nigeria can do to improve security, the economy, and human welfare

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Nigeria is facing a confluence of troubles: dramatically reduced oil prices have pummeled a country that depends on oil exports for two-thirds of its national revenues; the Boko Haram insurgency continues to wreak havoc particularly in the north of the country, where suicide bombings (many of which are now carried out by kidnapped girls) have killed hundreds; and corruption remains a drain on the country, which ranked 136th out of 168 countries on Transparency International’s 2015 Corruptions Perceptions Index.

But amidst this, Nigeria completed its first peaceful transition of power nine months ago—to Muhammadu Buhari, who has since made some progress in reforming the military, sacking corrupt leaders, and injecting energy into the counter-Boko Haram campaign.

On February 29, the Africa Security Initiative at Brookings hosted a discussion on the current state of Nigeria, featuring EJ Hogendoorn of the International Crisis Group, Madeline Rose of Mercy Corps, Mausi Segun of Human Rights Watch, and Amadou Sy from Brookings. Brookings’s Mike O’Hanlon moderated the conversation.

As O’Hanlon argued at the start, Nigeria is one of the most important countries in the world, but appears little in policy debates. Nigeria is sub-Saharan Africa’s largest economy, and security risks emanating in the country can have spillover effects. All of the participants stressed that Nigeria should factor more centrally in conversations about international security, economic development, and humanitarian issues.

Nigeria’s ups and downs

O’Hanlon started by framing three overlapping challenges in Nigeria:

  • The struggle against Boko Haram, which is more complicated than a pure terror group, but has also pledged loyalty to ISIS.
  • The question of reform, to include the army, the police, and the entire government.
  • The state of the economy, since Nigerian livelihoods need to be improved if there is any hope to handle the first two situations.

Hogendoorn praised the peaceful transition of power to President Buhari, calling it a “stunning achievement” for the country and those who helped from the outside. However, the problems facing Nigeria—namely the insurgency in the Niger Delta, declining oil prices, and corruption and government mismanagement (at state and federal levels)—are large, he said. He argued that declining oil prices and income are impacting the government’s ability to fulfill promises, and that state governments are powerful and difficult to reform. He praised some anti-corruption institutions in Nigeria, as well as a number of effective governors who have changed corruption situation dramatically over a short period of time. But in the end, he said, it comes down to good leadership. The Nigerian people must demand accountability.

Rose detailed how things have changed in Nigeria since Mercy Corps became heavily involved in the area in 2012. Mercy Corps’ main missions there include violence reduction, education, and creating opportunity for young girls, as well as humanitarian response. While there has been progress on chronic violence in Nigeria, particularly in the northeast of the country, Rose stressed that there is much to be done. She concluded that there is not enough attention to the human element of the crisis. For example, Rose noted that displacement is common across the Northeast. The displaced are mainly women and children. In the displaced groups, the eldest becomes de facto head of household—sometimes forcing leading adolescent girls to turn to selling sex for food or money for food. Rose called on the government to address this.

Segun agreed that the focus needs to change regarding crisis response in Nigeria. In the past, the focus has been almost entirely on a military response. This has not been a workable plan, she said, partly because the “military operates above the law.” The reforms in Nigeria must have a social component, Segun argued. Lack of access to opportunity, economic problems, and desertification of major water bodies have all combined to drive farmers and fisherman from the Northeast and into the heart of the conflict.

Sy returned to the importance of economic interests in resolving the crises in Nigeria. He reminded the audience that the country is the largest economy of sub-Saharan Africa, and that is important for the entire continent. Since two-thirds of the government revenue comes from oil, the oil shock has dealt a huge blow. But there is hope for Nigeria, Sy noted. One reason is stimulus via investment outside the oil sector. There has been an increase in infrastructure spending, as well as on human development (namely in education and health). In both cases, he said the biggest issue will be implementation. Sy gave four recommendations to the Nigerian government: 1) increase infrastructure expenditure, 2) make government more lean and cost-effective, 3) increase taxation in non-oil revenue items, and 4) reduce corruption.

Overall, the participants expressed cautious hope for Nigeria despite the problems it faces. The government there still has a long list of to-do’s, but there is reason to believe that it is on the right general track.

Agatu Massacre: Nigeria deploys troops; to ban cattle from villages, cities

 

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The Nigerian government says it is preparing a legislation to prohibit pastoralists from allowing their cattle roam in villages and cities, following the massacre of hundreds in a farming community in Benue State by armed herdsmen.

Minister of Agriculture and Rural Development, Audu Ogbeh, said Thursday that the government was working on measures to stop the invasion of communities by herdsmen.

Speaking to the News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) in Abuja, Mr. Ogbeh said that invasion and massacre of the indigenes by herdsmen was no longer acceptable to the government.

He said that a formation of the Nigerian Army had been deployed to the communities to restore peace.

“Yesterday, I spoke with the Ministers of Defence and Interior and they assured me that they have deployed a military formation in Enugu to move in and restore peace in Agatu.

“Today, I will also be speaking with Mr President about this issue to ensure that the problem is solved once and for all,” he said.

The minister gave assurance that government was taking lasting steps to prevent cattle from grazing into peoples’ communities and farmlands.

He said that most of the rampaging herdsmen were from some neighbouring countries.

“We are producing massive hectares of grasses for the consumption of cattle; we have received these grasses from Brazil and we are growing them in massive quantities.

“Cattle herdsmen want grasses for their cattle; such grass is what we are growing in large quantities and, within the next three months, some of these will be ready.

“Most of these men are not Nigerians; they come in from places like Chad.

“Recently, I was in Berlin and I met the Minister of Agriculture from Congo, who complained to me that some Chadian herdsmen also invade some communities in Congo to commit similar havocs.’’

He added that the government was in the process of enacting a legislation that would control cattle grazing in unauthorised areas.

“We are also sending a bill to the National Assembly to legislate that cattle should no longer roam in our cities and villages.

“We will equally raise the issue at the level of the African Union, to compel member-countries to take steps to prevent their herdsmen from grazing into neighbouring countries.

“It will be a major international crises if we do not stop it now,’’ Mr. Ogbeh said. (NAN).

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